Vong Jun Yi

Approximating Probability Distributions Done Right

Disclaimer: This post is written based on the syllabus for Cambridge International AS and A Levels, and may not be applicable for higher level studies.

Approximation

  1. Binomial to Normal:
    • Conditions*: $np > 5$ and $nq > 5$ ($n$ is sufficiently large).
    • Apply continuity correction.
  2. Binomial to Poisson:
    • A Poisson distribution can be used to model a discrete probability distribution in which the events
      • occur singly,
      • at random and independently,
      • in a given interval of space or time.
    • The mean and variance of a Poisson distribution are equal.
    • Conditions*: $n > 50$ and $np < 5$ ($n$ is large, $p$ is small/rare event).
  3. Poisson to Normal:
    • Conditions*: $\lambda > 15$
    • Apply continuity correction.

Central Limit Theorem

The central limit theorem (CLT) states that, provided $n$ is large, the distribution of sample means of size $n$ is: \(\overline{X}(n) \sim N\left(\mu, \frac{\sigma^2}{n}\right),\)where the original population has mean $\mu$ and variance $\sigma^2$.

*Rule of thumb
**For Further Statistics

References:

  1. Chalmers, Dean. Cambridge International AS & A Level Mathematics: Probability & Statistics 1 - Coursebook. Cambridge University Press, 2018.
  2. Kranat, Jayne. Cambridge International AS & A Level Mathematics: Probability & Statistics 2 - Coursebook. Cambridge University Press, 2018.
  3. McKevley, Lee, and Crozier, Martin. Cambridge International AS & A Level Further Mathematics - Coursebook. Cambridge University Press, 2018.